Via Energy and Gold.com: We are seeing a very interesting dynamic take hold in crude oil futures markets: In recent weeks we have witnessed a confluence of forces; speculators have covered shorts in large numbers while also aggressively adding to long positions, meanwhile, producers have hedged aggressively by selling futures contracts in order to lock… Continue Reading

Via TD Securities equity research: Over the weekend, Continental Gold announced that its was on track to complete permitting for its Buriticá (100%) gold project in Colombia, by the end of Q2/15. Management suggested that for an update expected at the end of Q2/15 it has an internal target of seeing mineral resources grow by… Continue Reading

Via Energy and Gold.com: It now seems like eons ago but at the end of last year I published a post titled “6 Big Surprises for 2015” in which I laid out a series of seemingly unlikely market events which I felt were much likelier to occur than the consensus believed. While it’s definitely too early to judge the… Continue Reading

Via Energy and Gold.com: On Monday we highlighted in two different posts the precarious equity market situation and expressed concern that AAPL had a few too many fans among the retail crowd heading into its 1st quarter earnings report. We even put on a short trade in AAPL near the close on Tuesday (shared via… Continue Reading

Via Energy and Gold.com: GDX is up nearly 6% this week. Is this rally for real? From all indications the answer is a resounding YES! Here’s why: The chart pattern breakout from the multi-week ascending triangle is the real deal and targets a move to at least $22    The bottoming process which began in… Continue Reading

Via Energy and Gold.com: Shares of the world’s largest company, Apple (AAPL), have traded very methodically recently. Pulling up the daily and weekly charts of AAPL we can see a stock that has risen methodically since last summer while finding support at key Fibonacci levels: AAPL (Weekly) During the last year AAPL shares have nearly… Continue Reading

Via Energy and Gold.com: Gold marginally broke below support on Friday, breaking down from a small H&S top pattern: The breakdown from this pattern targets a test of the March lows ($1140-$1150). However, the “break” was not as clear or as powerful as we would usually like to see when chart patterns resolve. $1180 has… Continue Reading

After enjoying a meteoric rise between 2002 and 2007 Cameco (CCJ) has endured an extremely challenging few years since the Fukishima disaster in March 2011: Technically speaking, there are a lot of positive developments in the CCJ chart including a potential breakout from a 13-month downtrend: And on the daily time frame there is a… Continue Reading

The recent outperformance of the gold miners (GDX) relative to gold itself has been quite striking: My primary takeaways/interpretations of this recent outperformance are as follows: Investors are betting that gold is at the end of a cyclical bear market and on the verge of launching into a new uptrend In the past when there… Continue Reading

Via Energy and Gold.com: I came across two powerful China charts from J.P.Morgan this weekend:   During the last decade the correlation between Chinese monetary conditions/nominal GDP growth and commodities is almost uncanny; the CRB bottomed at the exact month that China monetary conditions bottomed in early 2009 and began rolling over again in 2011 just… Continue Reading

Via Energy and Gold.com: Weekend Commodity Chart Wrap 4/18/2015…   Gold with realized volatility (top) and implied volatility (bottom) Both realized and implied gold volatility have been in decline since the beginning of the year. The GVZ (CBOE Gold Volatility Index) is currently pricing in barely more than a 4% move over the next 30… Continue Reading

Via Energy and Gold.com: GDX is on the brink of one of most anticipated “breakouts” we’ve seen in quite a while:   There is a lot going on in the above chart and the situation is by no means clear. Here is some of what i’m looking at: The much talked about $20 support/resistance level… Continue Reading

Via Energy and Gold.com: After a parabolic rally (sell-off in the Canadian dollar) to begin the year, the USD/CAD has been working on putting in a top for the past couple of months:   The key level to watch here is 1.2380 – a daily close below 1.2380 would hold major significance and I will… Continue Reading

Via Energy and Gold.com: Despite crude oil’s recent rally global demand is still expected to downtick for the next few weeks before surging in May in anticipation of the summer driving season:   Crude oil traders are clearly looking past the current bearish market dynamic (record inventory levels) and looking to the summer demand pickup amid hopes of… Continue Reading

Via Energy and Gold.com: While the casual market observer might look at Friday’s 1.18% rally in gold, closing modestly back above the $1200/oz level, as nothing to write home about. Friday’s session offers some subtle bullish signs that should not go ignored:   Many technicians will be quick to point out that a move back… Continue Reading